Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 45.172985 51.907063 58.915907 66.723707 75.147629 83.933346 93.759876
2024-10-20 34.334401 43.659232 53.941928 65.989643 79.590969 94.353169 111.470343
2024-10-27 27.165540 37.552729 49.546883 64.143817 81.166812 100.154355 122.701035
2024-11-03 24.177467 35.725622 49.545889 66.846513 87.497116 110.972110 139.299992
2024-11-10 21.390142 33.704466 48.946261 68.521232 92.370249 119.927458 153.636659
2024-11-17 17.971091 30.436231 46.444511 67.567556 93.849933 124.721077 162.994021
2024-11-24 15.111834 27.554664 44.132532 66.582327 95.069365 129.035018 171.654642
2024-12-01 13.109691 25.617936 42.852326 66.731857 97.549203 134.760660 181.922979
2024-12-08 11.411687 23.913657 41.718334 66.931918 99.986263 140.362997 192.001914
2024-12-15 10.082636 22.605703 41.005400 67.586445 102.927167 146.539015 202.756711
2024-12-22 8.502952 20.692222 39.273151 66.734815 103.825357 150.113306 210.294973
2024-12-29 7.647676 19.875192 39.058076 67.902869 107.319050 156.915132 221.800089
2025-01-05 6.891779 19.156932 38.959615 69.240488 111.083804 164.144491 233.968020
2025-01-12 5.763210 17.594930 37.455631 68.502126 112.025171 167.763915 241.652510
2025-01-19 4.569756 15.687969 35.246132 66.610708 111.301838 169.170552 246.506990
2025-01-26 4.356081 15.754522 36.214479 69.377620 116.948956 178.823478 261.783929
2025-02-02 3.983485 15.420860 36.486688 71.091452 121.143630 186.603757 274.722781
2025-02-09 3.241606 14.113836 35.020011 70.115533 121.552864 189.410895 281.331145
2025-02-16 2.601182 12.888723 33.587530 69.107194 121.853720 192.033273 287.677849
2025-02-23 2.188519 12.140154 32.935712 69.260239 123.765707 196.770332 296.736294
2025-03-02 1.834067 11.455500 32.342681 69.465000 125.726823 201.563147 305.871410
2025-03-09 1.568583 10.958337 32.058464 70.134863 128.344076 207.233366 316.155045
2025-03-16 1.208808 10.025249 30.856981 69.263267 128.683696 209.816920 322.419193